Google Search Decline Is Overstated
The narrative that Google Search is dying ignores what it's still best at and where alternatives actually win....
The Coming Collapse of AI Coding Assistants
AI coding assistants promised 55% productivity gains but METR found developers are 19% slower. Quality plateaued in 2025, technical debt exploded 8x, and the gap between benchmarks and production real...
Why Most AI Startups Will Fail by 2027
The AI gold rush is ending. 90% of AI startups will fail by 2027 due to commoditized infrastructure, no differentiation, and the gap between demos and production. The warning signs are already here....
The Test Coverage Lie
Test coverage metrics measure code execution, not verification. High coverage with weak assertions is worse than lower coverage with strong assertions - it provides false confidence....
Agentic AI's 40% Failure Rate: The Correction Nobody Wants
Gartner predicts over 40% of agentic AI projects will be canceled by 2027. The reasons are predictable: unclear ROI, agent washing, and deployments without governance....
The AI Productivity Paradox: Why Developers Are 19% Slower
METR's randomized controlled trial found experienced developers are 19% slower with AI coding tools. The twist: they believed they were 20% faster....
AI Coding Tools Have No Institutional Memory
AI coding assistants are stateless. They don't remember your architectural decisions, past bugs, or team conventions. This creates a specific kind of technical debt—code that looks correct but violate...
The Dirty Secret of AI Video Generation
AI video generation looks impressive in demos because those clips are selected from dozens of attempts. In production, expect 3-5 generations per usable clip, 15-20% cleanup time, and quality that isn...
AI Content Farms Are Killing Search
AI content farms have flooded search results with machine-generated text optimized for ranking, not accuracy. By 2026, genuine expertise gets buried under industrial-scale content pollution....
Observability Theater: When Dashboards Replace Understanding
The observability market will hit $172 billion by 2035, yet alert fatigue is epidemic and engineers spend 40% of time on tooling. Dashboards create illusion of control while real understanding require...
Agentic AI Is Just Automation With Better Marketing
Strip away the marketing and 'agentic AI' is workflow automation with LLM steps. Useful, but not the revolution the vendors are selling....
Serverless Was a Lie
Serverless promised to eliminate infrastructure concerns. Instead it created new problems: cold starts, vendor lock-in, debugging nightmares, and costs that spiral at scale. Containers won. Kubernetes...
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